Copyright © Inderes 2011 - present. All rights reserved.
  • Senaste
  • Börs
    • Morgonrapport
    • Aktiejämförelse
    • Börskalender
    • Utdelningskalender
    • Aktieanalys
    • Artiklar
    • Insider Transactions
    • Transkriptioner
  • InderesTV
  • Portfölj
  • Forum
  • Premium
  • Femme
  • Nora AI
  • Learn
    • Investing School
    • Q&A
    • Analysis School
  • Om oss
    • Bolag under bevakning
    • Teamet
Aktieanalys utförd av tredje part

Prevas: Margins improving as volumes stabilise - ABG

Prevas

Detta är en aktieanalys producerad av tredje part och reflekterar därför nödvändigtvis ej våra åsikter och värderingar

Ladda ner rapporten (PDF)
* We keep our estimates unchanged...
* ...and expect ~10-11% adj. EBITA margins in '26e-'27e
* Trading at 9-7x EV/EBITA on '26e-'27e, 15% below peers


Closing the year with a somewhat stable quarter

Prevas reported sales of SEK 432m, representing broadly flat y-o-y growth. This was supported by contributions from M&A and offset by an organic decline of 2%. Adj. EBITA came in at 35m, representing a margin of 8.1% (7.5% Q4'24), driven by continued cost control. Pricing pressure remains in the market, although we note selective price increases that have been implemented at a very gradual pace. Demand remained robust in Defence, where sales grew by ~30% y-o-y (now ~20% of total sales). This segment is characterised by established customer relationships and typically features longer project assignments. EPS for the quarter was SEK 1.67, and SEK 5.49 for '25 (7.13 in '24). Prevas suggested a DPS of SEK 4.00 for a 73% payout ratio, above its target range of 40-60%, supported by a strong balance sheet.


Estimates largely unchanged

We leave our sales and adj. EBITA estimates unchanged for '26e-'27e. While market conditions remain mixed, we see stabilising demand in Sweden and Finland. As demand improves, we expect personnel costs to increase, which explains why we keep our estimates in place despite the Q4 margin beat. For '26e-'27e, we expect sales to pick up and grow by 6-7%, and reaching adj. EBITA margins of 10-11% for the same period.


Valuation and view ahead

Prevas is trading at 9-7x EV/EBITA for '26e-'27e on our updated estimates. Looking ahead, Denmark remains a near-term challenge (sales decline of 20% y-o-y), while Finland stands out as a key growth driver following its turnaround (sales increase of 19% y-o-y), and also supports the group with improved margins. Sweden appears stable (flat y-o-y), with improving utilisation. Overall, we believe Prevas enters 2026 with a solid operational and financial situation, with promising margin expansion potential as volumes recover.
Följ oss på våra kanaler i social media
  • Inderes Forum
  • Youtube
  • Facebook
  • Instagram
  • X (Twitter)
  • Tiktok
  • Linkedin
Ta kontakt
  • info@inderes.fi
  • +358 10 219 4690
  • Porkkalankatu 5
    00180 Helsinki
Inderes
  • Om oss
  • Teamet
  • Jobba hos oss
  • Inderes som en investering
  • Tjänster för börsbolag
Vår plattform
  • FAQ
  • Servicevillkor
  • Integritetspolicy
  • Disclaimer
Inderes disclaimer gällande utförda aktieanalyser kan läsas här. För mer detaljerad information över de aktier som aktivt bevakas av Inderes, vänligen se respektive bolags bolagsspecifika sida på Inderes webbplats. © Inderes Oyj. Alla rättigheter förbehållna.