Copyright © Inderes 2011 - present. All rights reserved.
  • Uusimmat
  • Pörssi
    • Aamukatsaus
    • Osakevertailu
    • Pörssikalenteri
    • Osinkokalenteri
    • Analyysi
    • Artikkelit
    • Sisäpiirin kaupat
  • inderesTV
  • Mallisalkku
  • Foorumi
  • Premium
  • Femme
  • Opi
    • Sijoituskoulu
    • Q&A
    • Analyysikoulu
  • Meistä
    • Seurantayhtiöt
    • Tiimi
Kolmannen osapuolen analyysi

Cavotec: Waiting for the order engine to turn - ABG

Cavotec Group

Tämä on kolmannen osapuolen analyysi, eikä välttämättä vastaa Inderesin näkemystä tai arvoja

Lataa raportti (PDF)
* Customer caution weighing on estimates* We lower '25e-'27e sales by 11-4% and adj. EBIT by EUR 12m* Large P&M deliveries delayed to '26e ('25e previously)Q3 a slow quarter, in line with expectationsCavotec reported sales in line with estimates of EUR 36m (-19% y-o-y), but order intake of EUR 36m was 18% lower than our estimate. The lower volumes in the quarter were mainly due to customer caution and the long delivery times for P&M orders. Some of the large orders placed in Q4'24 in P&M (~EUR 44m in order intake) that were due to be delivered in Q3/Q4'25 have experienced delays, impacting the quarter. The company expects the majority of these deliveries to start next year. Due to the lower volumes, and partly due to the ramp-up preparations for the upcoming large deliveries, costs were higher in the quarter and adj. EBIT was a negative EUR 0.2m (vs. ABGSCe -0.7m and EUR 3m LY). However, it was positive to see improving margins in the Industry segment (EBITDA margin of 16.3% vs. 8% LY) due to the company's ongoing change programs in the segment. We expect Industry's profitability to improve to an EBITDA margin of 12% for '25e (vs. 8.3% in '24).Estimate changes and outlookWe lower '25e sales by 11% and '25e EBIT adj. by EUR 7m after the report. We have pushed the majority of the orders that were expected to be delivered in Q4'25e into '26e. In addition, we expect the uncertainty among customers to weigh on demand and orders into '26e, leading us to also lower our '26e-'27e sales by 6-4%. We cut '26e EBIT by EUR 3.3m and '27e EBIT by EUR 1.7m.Near-term focus: volume growthWe continue to find the longer-term potential in shore power and industrial electrification appealing, supported by regulatory tailwinds and structural megatrends. That said, for Cavotec to reach its financial targets, we believe it is crucial for the company to demonstrate improved volume growth. The share is trading at 17x-11x EV/EBIT in '26e-'27e vs. peers at 12x.
Sosiaalinen media
  • Inderes Foorumi
  • Youtube
  • Facebook
  • Instagram
  • X (Twitter)
  • Tiktok
  • Linkedin
Yhteystiedot
  • info@inderes.fi
  • +358 10 219 4690
  • Porkkalankatu 5
    00180 Helsinki
Inderes
  • Meistä
  • Tiimi
  • Avoimet työpaikat
  • Inderes sijoituskohteena
  • Palvelut pörssiyhtiöille
Sivusto
  • UKK
  • Käyttöehdot
  • Tietosuojaseloste
  • Vastuuvapauslauseke
Inderesin vastuuvapauslauseke löytyy täältä. Kunkin Inderesin aktiivisessa seurannassa olevan osakkeen tarkemmat tiedot löytyvät kunkin osakkeen omilta yhtiösivuilta Inderes-sivustolla. © Inderes Oyj. Kaikki oikeudet pidätetään.