Minor estimate changes
Solid pace of public procurement wins
'24e EV/EBITA ~9x
What to expect in Q1'24e
We expect Q1 revenue of SEK 157m and EBITDA of SEK 9m. On a YTD basis, the company has announced contracts with an estimated order value of ~SEK 650m over nearly four years, implying an annual weighted average contract value of ~SEK 175m. When combining this with the reported ACV of ~SEK 400m in Q4'23, there is visibility on the top-line going forward. That said, the quarterly variations in EBITDA are significant, and a rolling 12-month perspective therefore provides a more representative view of the underlying business than a single quarter.