Copyright © Inderes 2011 - present. All rights reserved.
  • Uusimmat
  • Pörssi
    • Aamukatsaus
    • Osakevertailu
    • Pörssikalenteri
    • Osinkokalenteri
    • Analyysi
    • Artikkelit
    • Sisäpiirin kaupat
  • inderesTV
  • Mallisalkku
  • Foorumi
  • Premium
  • Femme
  • Opi
    • Sijoituskoulu
    • Q&A
    • Analyysikoulu
  • Meistä
    • Seurantayhtiöt
    • Tiimi
Kolmannen osapuolen analyysi

StrongPoint: Slow and steady - ABG

StrongPoint

Tämä on kolmannen osapuolen analyysi, eikä välttämättä vastaa Inderesin näkemystä tai arvoja

Lataa raportti (PDF)
* Q3e EBITDA of NOK 9m* Awaiting stabilised markets* '26e-'27e estimates down - DCF NOK 15/shQ3e EBITDA of NOK 9mThe last couple of years have not been a period of smooth sailing for StrongPoint, as project delays and long decision-making cycles have hampered momentum and weighed on profitability. Adjusted EBITDA was NOK 12m in '24, down from NOK 80m in '22. It remains a waiting game, but performance has improved in '25, with H1'25 EBITDA of NOK 18m. StrongPoint is taking one step (quarter) at a time on its recovery road, and we expect Q3 to be another step in the right direction. We model Q3 revenues of ~NOK 358m (up ~14% y-o-y, vs. +18% y-o-y in Q2), with a GM at 42.0% and EBITDA of ~NOK 9m. This implies LTM EBITDA of ~NOK 32m, up ~70% from the Q1'25 LTM EBITDA – still a way to go, but getting there.Awaiting stabilised marketsThe EBITDA margin is still pressed at ~2.5%, which compares to the company's long-term target of an EBITDA margin >10%. Though we believe the long-term target will remain in place, we expect StrongPoint to provide a new strategy update in H1'26 regarding its short-term targets. Previously, StrongPoint targeted '25 revenues of NOK 1.5bn-1.8bn and an EBITDA margin of 4-6%. With these targets out of range, coupled with delays and difficult market conditions, it is likely that the company will adopt a more cautious view on its short-term targets, meaning a modest '26 target is likely. We model a '26e EBITDA margin of 4.0%, which yields EBITDA of ~NOK 62m – 25% below the previous '25 targets.'26e-'27e estimates down – DCF NOK 15/shWe make limited changes to our underlying '25e estimates (in absolute numbers), but our '26e-'27e estimates are down, as we lift opex somewhat and take a somewhat more careful view on the market recovery. Updated with more cautious estimates and a long-term EBITDA margin of ~7% (vs. >10% target), our DCF points to NOK 15/sh (we see fair range of 8-18/sh).
Sosiaalinen media
  • Inderes Foorumi
  • Youtube
  • Facebook
  • Instagram
  • X (Twitter)
  • Tiktok
  • Linkedin
Yhteystiedot
  • info@inderes.fi
  • +358 10 219 4690
  • Porkkalankatu 5
    00180 Helsinki
Inderes
  • Meistä
  • Tiimi
  • Avoimet työpaikat
  • Inderes sijoituskohteena
  • Palvelut pörssiyhtiöille
Sivusto
  • UKK
  • Käyttöehdot
  • Tietosuojaseloste
  • Vastuuvapauslauseke
Inderesin vastuuvapauslauseke löytyy täältä. Kunkin Inderesin aktiivisessa seurannassa olevan osakkeen tarkemmat tiedot löytyvät kunkin osakkeen omilta yhtiösivuilta Inderes-sivustolla. © Inderes Oyj. Kaikki oikeudet pidätetään.