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Translation: Original published in Finnish on 4/29/2026 at 9:00 am EEST.
| Estimates | Q1'25 | Q1'26 | Q1'26e | Q1'26e | Consensus | Diff-% | 2026e | |||
| MEUR/EUR | Comparison | Actualized | Inderes | Consensus | High | Low | Act. vs. Inderes | Inderes | ||
| Revenue | 53.8 | 56.4 | 57.8 | -3% | 222 | |||||
| Organic growth-% | 0.20% | 1.10% | 0.10% | 1 pp | 0.70% | |||||
| EBITA (adj.) | 4.8 | 4 | 5.1 | -21% | 22.2 | |||||
| EBIT | 3.9 | 2.5 | 3.5 | -29% | 18.5 | |||||
| EPS (adj.) | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.14 | -17% | 0.62 | |||||
| EPS (reported) | 0.1 | 0.07 | 0.09 | -22% | 0.62 | |||||
| Revenue growth % | 0.20% | 4.90% | 7.60% | -2.7 pp | 2.5% | |||||
| EBITA-% (adj.) | 9.00% | 7.10% | 8.80% | -1.7 pp | 10.0% | |||||
Source: Inderes
This morning, Digia published its Q1 business review, which showed figures that were slightly softer than expected. Although revenue grew organically, Savangard's contribution was smaller than anticipated. Profitability was under slightly more pressure than expected, likely due to investments. The company remains cautious in its comments regarding the market situation. As expected, the company also reconfirmed its guidance for 2026. Ultimately, one weaker quarter does not change our overall view of a company with high-quality earnings growth, given years of strong execution and no structural changes for the worse.
Digia's Q1 revenue increased by 5% to 56.4 MEUR, which was below our expectations. Organic growth appears to have been 1%, higher than our forecast. The number of working days was the same as in the comparison period. Thus, revenue from Savangard, acquired in Poland, was significantly below our forecast relative to its size, contributing only 2 MEUR. However, the share of international business rose to 20.8% in Q1 (Q1’25: 11.7%). The continuing service and maintenance business accounted for 50% of revenue, remaining at the same level as in the comparison period. The number of employees decreased by 11 from the previous quarter, and we will determine later today whether this figure already includes the 31 employees to be laid off as a result of the change negotiations.
Digia's adjusted EBITA decreased by 17% to 4.0 MEUR (Q1'25: 4.8 MEUR) and was below our 5.1 MEUR estimate. EBITA margin was 7.1%, down from 9.0% in the comparison period and below our estimate of 8.8%. The Q1 result included 0.7 MEUR in non-recurring costs from change negotiations conducted earlier in the year. In line with the strategy, the company also made investments in productization, harnessing artificial intelligence, international growth, and enhancing its expertise. However, the scale of these investments was apparently larger than we expected. The company does not report cost lines in more detail in its business reviews, so we cannot delve deeper into these costs and "investments." EPS was EUR 0.07 in Q1, and EUR 0.12 when adjusted for PPA amortization and one-off items from change negotiations.
Digia's guidance for 2026 calls for revenue growth and an EBITA at or above the level of the comparison period. Prior to the Q1 report, our full-year 2026 estimates were 226 MEUR in revenue (3.9% growth) and 23.2 MEUR in adjusted EBITA (10.3%). The company has historically been active in M&As, and we expect it to continue pursuing inorganic growth when a suitable acquisition target is found.
The company will hold a Capital Markets Day in May, during which we expect the company to provide more details on its new strategy period priorities and actions to achieve its targets.
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