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Analyst Comment

HKFoods Q1'26 flash comment: Earnings were slightly better than we expected

By Kaisa Vanha-PerttulaAnalyst
HKFoods

Summary

  • HKFoods' Q1 revenue grew by 3.8% to 243 MEUR, surpassing the 240 MEUR estimate, driven by strong retail and food service channels, despite a planned decrease in export revenue.
  • Comparable EBIT increased to 5.7 MEUR, exceeding the 5.1 MEUR estimate, supported by a favorable sales mix and efficiency measures that offset rising costs, including beef and energy prices.
  • The company reiterated its guidance for an increase in comparable EBIT from the 2025 level, despite ongoing cost pressures from global uncertainties affecting energy, packaging, and logistics.
  • Overall, the Q1 report was slightly better than expected, with operational improvements and lower depreciation contributing to the positive earnings surprise.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 05/06/2026 at 09:37 am EEST

Estimates Q1'25Q1'26Q1'26eDifference (%)2026e
MEUR / EUR ComparisonActualizedInderesAct. vs. InderesInderes
Revenue 2342432401 %1021
EBITDA 12.112.712.70 %65.8
EBIT (adj.) 4.65.75.111 %35.2
EBIT 4.65.45.15 %35.2
EPS (adj.) -0.010.020.008407 %0.13
       
Revenue growth-% 2.2 %3.8 %2.5 %1.3 pp2.5 %
EBIT-% (adj.) 2.0 %2.4 %2.1 %0.2 pp3.4 %

Source: Inderes

HKFoods published its Q1 report this morning, which slightly exceeded our expectations in terms of both revenue and earnings. The strong momentum in the retail and food service channels supported revenue, and the company's efficiency measures successfully offset increased costs. As expected, the company reiterated its guidance for an earnings improvement in the current year. Overall, we found the report to be relatively neutral, especially considering the rising costs.

Revenue was supported by volume growth driven by retail and foodservice

In Q1, HKFoods’ revenue grew by 3.8% to 243 MEUR, exceeding our 240 MEUR estimate. The company reported that sales strengthened, particularly in channels with a better margin profile, namely retail and food service, but also in industrial sales. In contrast, export revenue decreased as planned, according to the company. Retail sales were particularly supported by HKFoods' own brands and strong demand for poultry and pork, while beef availability remained tight. The company reports that it has succeeded in commercial measures in the food service market, where it says the demand picture has generally been challenging.

Efficiency measures offset increased costs

The company's comparable EBIT increased to 5.7 MEUR (Q1’25: 4.6 MEUR), which also exceeded our 5.1 MEUR estimate but was mainly due to a lower depreciation level than we expected. Profitability in Q1 was supported especially by a more favorable sales mix and savings achieved in the company's efficiency program. During the quarter, the company also faced cost pressures, particularly due to the rising purchase price of beef and increased energy costs resulting from the cold winter. The reported bottom line was burdened by 0.3 MEUR in non-recurring restoration costs. Adjusted net income also clearly exceeded our estimate, which was impacted by operational development and lower depreciation, in addition to lower-than-expected net financial expenses and taxes, and a higher profit from the associate. 

Guidance reiterated as cost pressures overshadow outlook

In its report, HKFoods reiterated its guidance that expects comparable EBIT to increase from the 2025 level (34.1 MEUR). The company has successfully improved its comparable EBIT for 13 consecutive quarters, although earnings growth has recently slowed compared to, e.g., the very strong performance in 2024. The company anticipates that the uncertain global situation will continue to create upward pressure, particularly on energy, packaging, and logistics costs. This was well in line with our previous expectations, as we had estimated in connection with the earnings preview that the company would face cost pressures due to the tightened geopolitical situation and the conflict in the Middle East.

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HKFoods operates in the food industry. The group includes several subsidiaries with business activities in the sale, marketing and production of meat products from pork, beef and poultry. The group operates the entire value chain, from slaughtering, cutting to processing and resale of the raw materials. HKFoods has the largest operations in the Nordic market. The head office is located in Turku.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures28.04.

202526e27e
Revenue996.41,021.31,041.7
growth-%-0.5 %2.5 %2.0 %
EBIT (adj.)34.035.237.0
EBIT-% (adj.)3.4 %3.5 %3.5 %
EPS (adj.)0.090.130.19
Dividend0.080.090.11
Dividend %5.4 %5.6 %6.8 %
P/E (adj.)16.612.58.7
EV/EBITDA4.54.54.3

Forum discussions

Kaisa and Pauli have published a new company report on HKFoods following the Q1 results HKFoods’ streak of earnings improvements continued in...
5/6/2026, 8:08 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
3
Kaisa interviewed HKFoods’ CEO Juha Ruohola regarding Q1 Topics: 00:00 Introduction 00:13 Return to growth path 00:59 Efficiency measures are...
5/6/2026, 2:42 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
3
Here are Kaisa’s quick comments on this morning’s result. HKFoods published its Q1 results this morning, which slightly exceeded our expectations...
5/6/2026, 10:18 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
Kaisa and Pauli have prepared a pre-earnings report on HKFoods :), as the company will publish its Q1 report on Wednesday, May 6. We expect ...
4/28/2026, 7:51 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
That bottom-up simulation is one option, and you’ve arrived at the same EPS of 0.2 as in OP’s analysis. OP, however, has assumed an improvement...
2/18/2026, 5:36 AM
by Makex
0
The current year could also be evaluated by taking the 2025 operating profit as a starting level and seeing what could happen in the income ...
2/17/2026, 7:42 PM
by Sij
0
A 30c EPS for HK is perhaps a few years away, not now, but by then the track record will either have been established or it won’t. By then, ...
2/17/2026, 6:48 PM
by Makex
0