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Inderes’ Disclaimer can be found here. Detailed information about each share actively monitored by Inderes is available on the company-specific pages on Inderes’ website. © Inderes Oyj. All rights reserved.

Metacon resumes order momentum

METAAnalyst Comment19.09.2025 klo 07.40
Lucas MattssonHead of Equity Research, Sweden
Discuss

Summary

  • We view Metacon's selection as a supplier for a 7.5 MW electrolyzer plant in Romania as a positive development, supporting our current estimates without necessitating immediate changes.
  • In our view, entering the Romanian market is strategically important for Metacon, aligning with the growing interest in green hydrogen solutions, although the final contract is yet to be signed.
  • We expect revenue recognition from this order to be spread over several quarters, likely weighted towards 2026, and believe it enhances visibility into Metacon's growth, reducing uncertainty in our estimates.
  • We believe the deal strengthens Metacon's position to secure similar future orders, which is crucial for relying on its own cash flows.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Metacon announced on Thursday that it has been selected as a supplier for the delivery of a 7.5 MW electrolyzer plant to Elektra Power SRL in Romania. The value of the deal is around 7.1 MEUR (approximately 77.8 MSEK). The transaction still necessitates the signing of a definitive project agreement. While we view the news as positive and supporting our current estimates, it does not trigger immediate changes.

First step into the Romanian market

The recently announced order marks Metacon's first step into the Romanian market, which we believe is a strategically important region with growing interest in green hydrogen solutions. The delivery includes pressurized alkaline electrolyzers, which will be supplied in cooperation with Metacon's partner PERIC. It is important to note that the final contract has not yet been signed, but being selected as a supplier is a strong signal of a future binding order.

The order supports our estimates but does not cause immediate revisions

The order of around 78 MSEK is significant in size, although it is clearly smaller than the company's previous large Motor Oil project (a total of around 344 MSEK). Due to the generally long lead times, we expect revenue recognition to be spread over several quarters after the final contract is signed, likely weighted towards 2026. The order is in line with our expectations, as we have estimated Metacon to secure several new large-scale orders in the coming years, driving revenue growth to 297 MSEK in 2025 and 635 MSEK in 2026. However, we believe that the recent deal provides enhanced visibility into this growth, which somewhat reduces the uncertainty in our estimates. Furthermore, with the support of the customer reference, we believe the company is also better positioned to win new similar customers. We will continue to monitor the company's order development, as we believe that a sustained order flow is required for Metacon to rely on its own cash flows.

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Metacon is an energy technology company that develops and sells small and large energy systems for the production of hydrogen, electricity and heat. The company's offering includes electrolysis, reforming and combined energy systems, with customers in industry, transport and real estate. Metacon operates internationally. The company was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Örebro.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures22.08.2025

202425e26e
Revenue40.4296.5634.5
growth-%-32.8 %634.0 %114.0 %
EBIT (adj.)-123.8-41.8-39.4
EBIT-% (adj.)-306.4 %-14.1 %-6.2 %
EPS (adj.)-0.19-0.03-0.04
Dividend0.000.000.00
Dividend %
P/E (adj.)neg.neg.neg.
EV/EBITDAneg.neg.neg.

Forum discussions

Here are Lucas’s comments regarding Metacon’s new order. Inderes – 2 Jul 26 Metacon: DIFFERin T&K-tilaus vahvistaa suunnitteluosaamista - Inderes...
18 hours ago
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2
Here are Lucas’s comments regarding the preliminary results of Metacon’s offering Inderes – 29 Jun 26 Metacon: Annin alustava tulos 71 % enimm...
6/29/2026, 4:50 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2
Lucas has provided his comments on how Metacon has received a 1.2 million EUR customer payment from Motor Oil, and additionally, how 0.99 million...
6/15/2026, 6:04 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Lucas has updated the Metacon research report following the latest news In our view, the recently announced capital raise reduces financial ...
6/4/2026, 6:56 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2
Here are Lucas’s comments on Metacon’s 144 million SEK capital raise Inderes – 3 Jun 26 Metacon: 144 MSEK:n pääoman keruu turvaa rahoituksen...
6/3/2026, 6:06 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
Lucas Mattsson has authored a company report on Metacon following Q1. In our view, Metacon started the year strongly, driven by increased execution...
5/8/2026, 5:21 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
Here are Lucas’s pre-game thoughts, as Metacon reports its Q1 results this Thursday. We expect the report to show continued strong year-on-year...
5/4/2026, 5:36 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2