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Analyst Comment

NYAB signs data center contract in Finland

By Christoffer JennelAnalyst
NYAB

Summary

  • NYAB has signed a project management contract with Compute Nordic Finland Oy for a data center in Mikkeli, Finland, with a potential construction value of approximately 100 MEUR.
  • The project is strategically significant for NYAB, providing visibility for Finnish operations amid a cautious market environment, and could impact revenue estimates if fully secured.
  • Earthworks are expected to begin in March 2026, with the project potentially spanning 2-3 years, aligning with NYAB's expertise in high-voltage and industrial infrastructure.
  • The stepwise contract allows efficient resource management, consistent with NYAB's asset-light model, but the construction phase is yet to be formally awarded.

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NYAB has signed a project management contract with Compute Nordic Finland Oy for the development of a large-scale data center in Mikkeli, Finland, with a potential total construction value of approximately 100 MEUR. We consider this an important strategic win that provides much-needed visibility for the Finnish operations, which have recently reflected a more cautious market environment compared to the robust momentum seen in Sweden. Although the construction phase has not yet been formally awarded and is subject to separate client orders, where the final value will be determined stepwise, the potential project's scale is significant relative to our 2026 revenue estimate of 614 MEUR. While this announcement does not lead to immediate estimate changes, it would put upward pressure on our forecasts if fully secured and would materially de-risk our growth projections for the Finnish unit from 2026 onwards.

Strategic fit in high-voltage and industrial infrastructure

Earthworks for this new data center project are expected to begin in March 2026, and, while not explicitly stated, we believe the project timeline could be in the range of 2-3 years (33-50 MEUR annually). The project's technical scope, including two 100 MW data halls, high-voltage connections, and substation works, plays directly into NYAB's core competencies in complex energy and industrial infrastructure. We believe this project validates NYAB's strategy to grow in advanced industrial developments and highlights its ability to secure large-scale contracts despite the cautious market sentiment in Finland.

The stepwise nature of the contract, where construction work is commissioned through separate orders, allows NYAB to manage its resource allocation efficiently, which is consistent with its asset-light and selective business model. While we maintain caution until the planning phase is completed and construction orders are finalized, if NYAB is commissioned for the construction work, it will notably strengthen the medium-term growth outlook for the Civil Engineering segment. However, the value-driving construction contract remains to be formally awarded before we can fully incorporate it into our estimates.

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NYAB provides services within engineering, construction and maintenance with a focus on sustainable infrastructure and renewable energy. The offering includes roads, railways, bridges, airports, wind and solar power and power grids. NYAB also provides various types of facilities for industrial customers. NYAB operates in Sweden and Finland in both the private and public sectors.

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Key Estimate Figures13.02.

202526e27e
Revenue547.0614.1658.6
growth-%58.1 %12.3 %7.2 %
EBIT (adj.)34.341.945.7
EBIT-% (adj.)6.3 %6.8 %6.9 %
EPS (adj.)0.030.040.05
Dividend0.010.010.02
Dividend %1.9 %2.3 %2.6 %
P/E (adj.)15.313.612.1
EV/EBITDA9.48.07.1

Forum discussions

Christoffer has shared his comments as NYAB signed a project management agreement with Compute Nordic Finland Oy. The project’s potential total...
12 hours ago
by Sijoittaja-alokas
3
And here are Christoffer’s more comprehensive comments in the form of a company report. NYAB’s Q4 revenue was in line with our forecast, while...
2/13/2026, 7:33 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
Christoffer’s quick comments on NYAB’s morning results. NYAB’s Q4 revenue was in line with our forecast, while operating profit exceeded our...
2/12/2026, 8:26 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Christoffer’s comments on NYAB agreeing to the sale of its North American Dovre units to Teal Recruitment. NYAB announced on Monday that it ...
2/10/2026, 7:37 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Here are Christoffer’s preview comments as NYAB reports its results on Thursday, February 12th. We expect the company to report strong revenue...
2/5/2026, 6:32 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Here are Christoffer’s comments on NYAB’s small acquisition. NYAB announced on Friday that its subsidiary NYAB Finland Oy has signed an agreement...
1/30/2026, 3:57 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
Christoffer has written his commentary as NYAB signed a new railway contract in Sweden. NYAB announced on Friday that it has signed an agreement...
1/23/2026, 9:02 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
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