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Inderes’ Disclaimer can be found here. Detailed information about each share actively monitored by Inderes is available on the company-specific pages on Inderes’ website. © Inderes Oyj. All rights reserved.

Analyst Comment

Remedy will release Control Resonant in late September

By Roni PeuranheimoAnalyst
Remedy Entertainment

Summary

  • Remedy announced the release date for Control Resonant as September 24, 2026, which is a key driver for the company's investment case and earnings trend.
  • The release timing at the end of Q3 may require minor adjustments to quarterly projections, and it precedes the release of GTA 6 in November.
  • Remedy's shift to a self-publishing model means it will record total sales as revenue, but with reduced gross margins due to distribution costs and Annapurna's share.
  • The standard price for Control Resonant is EUR 59.99, and the game's sales performance will be closely monitored through Steam wishlist rankings and player reactions.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 6/3/2026 at 8:45 am EEST.

Remedy announced the expected release date of Control Resonant as September 24, 2026. In our view, this is by far the most critical individual driver of the company's current investment case and earnings trend. While the Q3 release aligns with our estimates, the timing at the very end of the quarter may require minor adjustments to our quarterly projections, which we will address in our next update. Regarding the release window, it was clear that Control Resonant would be released before GTA 6, which is coming in November. However, the timing is now getting relatively close to that, and it also falls during a typically busy period for game releases.

With the shift to a self-publishing model, Remedy is now fully responsible for marketing and distributing a game of this scale for the first time. Self-publishing will significantly impact Remedy's income statement compared to historical figures. As the publisher, Remedy records the game’s total sales as revenue, but on the expense side, this is reduced by the platforms' distribution costs (~25% of sales) and Annapurna's share of net sales. Consequently, the gross margin on self-published games is notably lower than on previous royalty-based titles (e.g., Alan Wake 2), where the margin was effectively 100%. In absolute figures, however, self-publishing offers Remedy significantly greater earnings potential if Control Resonant sells well. The game's standard price of EUR 59.99 reflects typical AAA game pricing and is in line with our expectations. Over the summer, we will closely monitor the game’s Steam wishlist rankings and the reactions of the player community to the trailers to assess the validity of our sales forecasts.

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Remedy Entertainment is a game developer. Its operations are primarily focused on the development of action games, with a particular focus on 3D technology. Examples of games that the company has developed include several different versions of Alan Wake, Max Payne, and Control. Remedy also develops its own game engine and tooling technology that powers many of its games. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures06.05.

202526e27e
Revenue59.5123.5121.7
growth-%17.5 %107.5 %-1.4 %
EBIT (adj.)-14.94.212.5
EBIT-% (adj.)-25.0 %3.4 %10.3 %
EPS (adj.)-0.960.200.72
Dividend0.000.000.00
Dividend %
P/E (adj.)neg.71.519.6
EV/EBITDA17.27.16.3

Forum discussions

Quite a blunder that August was visible in multiple places. There was surely a lot of internal pressure to get the game released then, but in...
26 minutes ago
by Spwni
1
Professional @Roni_Peuranheimo’s comments on the release date can be found here, while @Atte_Riikola continues his honeymoon : Remedy julkaisee...
39 minutes ago
by NukkeNukuttaja
1
I missed this in the news cycle yesterday, but it’s a significant relief for the release window - Phantom Blade is being pushed back by 2 months...
1 hour ago
5
It was to be expected that the fall season would be packed due to GTA fears. However, the situation is worse than I imagined, especially since...
2 hours ago
by Relaaja
4
I didn’t believe these over-optimistic release estimates for a second. It’s going to be quite a bloodbath in September. But that’s just the ...
3 hours ago
by 1sarvinen
0
I certainly didn’t expect a trailer already today. I wonder if there will be some kind of deep dive trailer or similar at SGF, since Resonant...
7 hours ago
by Hasty
2
Source Apparently, at the very last minute, they managed to score an own goal from an attacking position where the opponent’s goalkeeper was...
8 hours ago
18