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Teleste Q4'25 flash comment: This year's earnings growth outlook is in line with our expectations

TLT1VAnalyst Comment13.02.2026 klo 12.04
Atte RiikolaAnalyst
Discuss

Summary

  • Teleste's Q4 revenue decreased by 1% to 36.1 MEUR, falling short of the expected 37.9 MEUR, with stable Broadband Networks revenue and a decrease in Public Safety and Mobility revenue.
  • Adjusted EBIT for Q4 was 1.2 MEUR, slightly exceeding the forecast of 1.0 MEUR, with full-year adjusted EBIT of 7.1 MEUR surpassing the guidance range.
  • Teleste's cash flow from operating activities remained strong, reducing indebtedness and improving the net debt/EBITDA ratio to 1.7 from 2.8, with a proposed dividend of EUR 0.08 per share.
  • The company guides for revenue of 140-160 MEUR and adjusted EBIT of 7-10 MEUR this year, aligning with expectations, and anticipates earnings to be weighted towards H2.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 02/13/2026 at 09:18 am EET

Estimates Q4'24Q4'25Q4'25eQ4'25eDifference (%)2025e
MEUR / EUR ComparisonActualizedInderesConsensusAct. vs. InderesInderes
Revenue 36.536.137.9 -5 %140
EBIT (adj.) 0.81.21.0 23 %6.9
EBIT -5.71.21.0 21 %6.6
EPS (adj.) 0.080.020.02 -3 %0.16
EPS (rep.) -0.270.020.02 -3 %0.14
DPS 0.030.080.10 -20 %0.10
        
Revenue growth-% 19.1 %-1.0 %3.8 % -4.9 pp5.9 %
EBIT-% (adj.) 2.3 %3.3 %2.6 % 0.8 pp4.9 %

Lähde: Inderes

Source: Inderes

This morning, Teleste reported Q4 results in line with our expectations, and the company's outlook, as expected, anticipates continued earnings growth this year. The company's North American expansion progressed excellently last year, and the company already has over 20 operator customers there. An expanding customer base also diversifies the short-term risk associated with Teleste's largest North American customer, Cox, as it is currently merging with Charter.

Revenue was stable in Q4, while we still expected slight growth

Teleste's Q4 revenue decreased by 1% to 36.1 MEUR, below our estimate of 37.9 MEUR. Broadband Networks' revenue (Q4’25: 19.9 MEUR) remained stable, while our expectation was 7% growth. Revenue was as expected supported by North American DOCSIS 4.0. deliveries, while traditional networks and the UK services business saw a decrease, according to the company. Last year, North America already accounted for 30% of Broadband Networks' revenue, reflecting Teleste's well-progressing expansion there. The unit's order intake (20.6 MEUR) decreased by 20% from a strong comparison period but increased significantly quarter-on-quarter (14.1 MEUR). Last year, customer orders were weighted towards the beginning of the year, and for the full year, the unit's orders grew by 10%.  

Public Safety and Mobility's revenue decreased by 2% to 16.2 MEUR, and our estimate also expected a roughly stable development. Teleste had several project deliveries underway at the end of the year, and according to the company, these have been very successful. The segment's order intake grew by 4% year-on-year, and the order book of 89.7 MEUR is at a good level.

Q4 earnings development slightly better than we expected

Teleste's adjusted EBIT was 1.2 MEUR in Q4 (Q4'24: 0.8 MEUR), slightly exceeding our forecast of 1.0 MEUR. The full-year adjusted EBIT of 7.1 MEUR was thus slightly above the guidance range (4-7 MEUR). Compared to a strong start to the year, relative profitability (EBIT 3.3%) declined, but it showed a slight improvement year-on-year. Broadband Networks' EBIT (8.5% vs. Q4'24: 5.6%) improved from the comparison period. Profitability in Public Safety and Mobility (4,7 % vs. Q4'24: 5.0%) was slightly lower than in the comparison period.  

Teleste's cash flow from operating activities (12.9 MEUR) was good last year, similar to the previous year, and as a result, the balance sheet's indebtedness continued to decrease throughout the year. Reduced debt and improved earnings are also reflected in the significant improvement of the net debt/EBITDA ratio (Q4’25: 1.7 vs. Q4'24: (2.8). Teleste's Board proposes a small dividend of EUR 0.08 per share, while our estimate was EUR 0.10. The dividend still grows by EUR 0.05 from the previous year.

Guidance in line with our expectations

Teleste guides for revenue of 140-160 MEUR and an adjusted EBIT of 7-10 MEUR for this year. Our forecast prior to the report expected revenue of 154.5 MEUR and EBIT of 9.0 MEUR, so our expectations are within the guidance range. Teleste expects earnings to be weighted towards H2, which has also been our assumption. In the short term, the merger between Teleste's largest North American customer, Cox Communications, and Charter has impacted Cox's network investments. The merger is expected to be completed by mid-year, after which the situation could be assumed to normalize again. However, Teleste already has over 20 operator customers in North America, so orders are continuously accumulating from a wider range of customers, diversifying the risk associated with the main customer. In addition, DOCSIS 4.0. deliveries will continue in Europe this year, although the investment wave is clearly smaller than in North America. The expanded customer base of Public Safety and Mobility also strengthens the prerequisites for continued profitable growth.   

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Teleste operates in the telecom sector. The company is a provider of solutions that concern broadband and other information technology. Examples of products and services that the company offers include design, planning and documentation within network solutions, nodes and amplifiers, security and software solutions, as well as configuration and training. The company has operations on a global level, with a primary focus on the Nordic market.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures06.02.

202425e26e
Revenue132.5140.4154.5
growth-%-12.4 %5.9 %10.0 %
EBIT (adj.)4.06.99.0
EBIT-% (adj.)3.0 %4.9 %5.8 %
EPS (adj.)0.200.160.34
Dividend0.030.100.12
Dividend %1.1 %3.2 %3.8 %
P/E (adj.)13.020.19.4
EV/EBITDA11.96.85.6

Forum discussions

To our delight, Atte put together a company report on Teleste on Saturday following Q3 We reiterate our Accumulate recommendation for Teleste...
yesterday
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2
Well, that’s certainly also because there are simply no buyers. Earnings report day and a measly 24,000 shares changed hands. That is a really...
11/6/2026, 4:48 PM
by Mifalt
1
Atte interviewed Teleste’s CEO Esa Harju right after the earnings release Topics: (00:00) Introduction (00:11) Q3 Highlights (02:26) Networks...
11/6/2026, 3:49 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
Q3 was indeed exceptionally sluggish in terms of revenue. However, the order book is solid for both segments. Now we just need a strong Q4, ...
11/6/2026, 2:23 PM
by Kunhalvallasaa
1
A couple of explanations come to mind: Since the North American can was kicked down the road, it wasn’t “ruining” the Q3 margin? As deliveries...
11/6/2026, 12:23 PM
by Mifalt
0
That’s an interesting guidance revision—hopefully @Atte_Riikola will ask about this. The upside was cut from net sales, yet they gave a fairly...
11/6/2026, 10:39 AM
by Teletappi
0
Yeah, I agree that with Teleste’s resources, the sector is really challenging. Still, I’m surprised by the stock market’s -5% reaction right...
11/6/2026, 9:02 AM
by Kunhalvallasaa
0