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Research

Neste: The fog is lifting with small steps

By Petri GostowskiCo. Head of Research
Neste
Download report (PDF)

In Neste's Q4 report, the main focus was on the outlook for Renewable Products, as the segment's expected earnings growth has been colored by a number of challenges. For these, the overall picture is now somewhat clearer, but the earnings growth from higher sales volumes seems to be coming in more slowly than expected. We have lowered our forecasts for the current year to reflect this, but over the longer term the changes have been small.

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Neste produces transport fuel and renewable fuels. Today, the largest operations and extraction are held in the Nordic market, where the company is active in the entire value chain, from extraction to delivery to port depots. In addition, the opportunity is given for direct sales where customers can pick up fuel at selected stations. The largest market is in the Nordic region, and the company is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures08.02.2024

202324e25e
Revenue22,925.921,547.224,288.0
growth-%-10.8 %-6.0 %12.7 %
EBIT (adj.)2,591.51,695.72,225.4
EBIT-% (adj.)11.3 %7.9 %9.2 %
EPS (adj.)2.881.802.35
Dividend1.201.251.30
Dividend %3.7 %6.0 %6.3 %
P/E (adj.)11.211.58.8
EV/EBITDA10.76.95.5

Forum discussions

Neste appoints Jukka Siukosaari as Senior Vice President, Public Affairs and Geopolitics | Neste Neste is hiring Jukka Siukosaari from the Ministry...
2/7/2026, 8:44 AM
by Sinuhe
25
OP analyst Matti Kaurola talked about Neste’s Q4 and the company’s outlook on video Neste’s Q4 report was mixed. Q4 results were better than...
2/6/2026, 2:58 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
6
Inderes Neste Q4'25: Uusiutuvien tuotteiden volyymit ovat tiukassa - Inderes Nesteen Q4-tulos löi odotukset selvällä marginaalilla, kun taas...
2/6/2026, 7:34 AM
by Montau
20
Here is also Heikki and Eeva’s interview. Inderes Neste Q4’25: Hieno tuloskäänne - Inderes Aika: 05.02.2026 klo 17.52 Neste teki hienon tulosk...
2/5/2026, 3:53 PM
by Verneri Pulkkinen
30
I calculated that Neste “leaves” about 825 million tons of renewable products unsold when the current utilization rate is compared to the best...
2/5/2026, 2:48 PM
2
Finland’s renewable plants will go on shutdown in Porvoo at the same time as the rest of the refinery. But we’re talking about fairly small ...
2/5/2026, 11:44 AM
by Latupuikko
3
To clarify, there are no further maintenance shutdowns on the renewables side other than those that have already concluded.
2/5/2026, 11:15 AM
3
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