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Research

Neste: Margins for Renewable Products under pressure

By Petri GostowskiCo. Head of Research
Neste
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Neste's Q2 results were well below our expectations and the near-term outlook in Renewable Products, which was also affected by the challenges in Singapore, brought our estimates down significantly for the rest of the year. We also scaled up our medium-term projections for the sales margin of Renewable Products in the light of the change in Sweden's blending mandate and threats to supply growth. However, we expect the segment's earnings growth to remain buoyant as production capacity increases.

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Neste produces transport fuel and renewable fuels. Today, the largest operations and extraction are held in the Nordic market, where the company is active in the entire value chain, from extraction to delivery to port depots. In addition, the opportunity is given for direct sales where customers can pick up fuel at selected stations. The largest market is in the Nordic region, and the company is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures27.07.2023

202223e24e
Revenue25,707.421,205.523,630.0
growth-%69.7 %-17.5 %11.4 %
EBIT (adj.)2,898.02,135.42,311.7
EBIT-% (adj.)11.3 %10.1 %9.8 %
EPS (adj.)3.022.352.37
Dividend1.521.101.15
Dividend %3.5 %5.3 %5.5 %
P/E (adj.)14.38.88.7
EV/EBITDA11.37.75.5

Forum discussions

Neste appoints Jukka Siukosaari as Senior Vice President, Public Affairs and Geopolitics | Neste Neste is hiring Jukka Siukosaari from the Ministry...
2/7/2026, 8:44 AM
by Sinuhe
25
OP analyst Matti Kaurola talked about Neste’s Q4 and the company’s outlook on video Neste’s Q4 report was mixed. Q4 results were better than...
2/6/2026, 2:58 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
6
Inderes Neste Q4'25: Uusiutuvien tuotteiden volyymit ovat tiukassa - Inderes Nesteen Q4-tulos löi odotukset selvällä marginaalilla, kun taas...
2/6/2026, 7:34 AM
by Montau
20
Here is also Heikki and Eeva’s interview. Inderes Neste Q4’25: Hieno tuloskäänne - Inderes Aika: 05.02.2026 klo 17.52 Neste teki hienon tulosk...
2/5/2026, 3:53 PM
by Verneri Pulkkinen
30
I calculated that Neste “leaves” about 825 million tons of renewable products unsold when the current utilization rate is compared to the best...
2/5/2026, 2:48 PM
2
Finland’s renewable plants will go on shutdown in Porvoo at the same time as the rest of the refinery. But we’re talking about fairly small ...
2/5/2026, 11:44 AM
by Latupuikko
3
To clarify, there are no further maintenance shutdowns on the renewables side other than those that have already concluded.
2/5/2026, 11:15 AM
3
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