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Research

Nokia: Cash flow-based valuation is not attractive

By Atte RiikolaAnalyst
Nokia
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Overall, Nokia's Q4 results and outlook for 2024 were broadly in line with expectations. We saw no need for significant changes to our earnings forecasts at the group level, and which is why we found the share price reaction (+11%) on earnings day surprising. The valuation of the stock still looks moderate on adjusted earnings, but not particularly attractive in light of the free cash flow burdened by restructuring costs in the coming years.

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Nokia is a global telecommunications company. The company offers solutions in IP, broadband, digital health, and cloud-based systems. The customers are found in a broad base of markets and consist of large corporate customers, authorities, and private consumers. The business is established on a global level in all regions. Nokia was founded in 1865 and the head office is located in Esbo, Finland.

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Key Estimate Figures25.01.2024

202324e25e
Revenue22,279.021,711.221,889.0
growth-%-10.6 %-2.5 %0.8 %
EBIT (adj.)2,375.02,490.22,419.6
EBIT-% (adj.)10.7 %11.5 %11.1 %
EPS (adj.)0.290.330.32
Dividend0.130.140.16
Dividend %4.3 %2.5 %2.8 %
P/E (adj.)10.617.517.8
EV/EBITDA5.310.810.4

Forum discussions

At what price are you willing to sell your Nokia position? 6.5€ / share 7.0€ / share 7.5€ / share 8.0€ / share 8.5€ / share 9.0€ / share 9.5...
28 minutes ago
by Matkaaja
1
Salkunrakentaja is reporting on Nokia / Nokia’s selection for Morgan Stanley’s ‘Top Picks’ list. MS raised the target price to €6.5. By the ...
8 hours ago
by Opa
20
https://www.sdxcentral.com/news/nokia-and-ericsson-in-brand-synergy-with-eu-ai-and-5g-concerns/ 1. European AI Gap and Infrastructure Bottleneck...
yesterday
by Lexus
11
Benzinga What's Driving the Market Sentiment Around Nokia Oyj? - Nokia (NYSE:NOK) Benzinga Pron mukaan Nokia Oyj:n vertailuryhmän keskimäärä...
yesterday
by 0-Kelvin
6
So 4G passed them by, 5G passed them by… I wonder if it’s time for Nokia (and Ericsson) to return to the consumer market?
yesterday
by Caravellix
3
Ericsson and Nokia layoffs reflect the grisly state of 5G technology The combined headcount of Ericsson and Nokia has plummeted by more than...
1/16/2026, 1:21 PM
by 0-Kelvin
3
It’s hard to completely disagree with this. However, a positive perspective offers a bright future. If bringing AI computing to the network ...
1/16/2026, 9:35 AM
by Voiceman
3
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