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Nokia: Cash flow-based valuation is not attractive

NOKIAResearch26.01.2024 klo 11.38
Atte RiikolaAnalyst
Discuss
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Overall, Nokia's Q4 results and outlook for 2024 were broadly in line with expectations. We saw no need for significant changes to our earnings forecasts at the group level, and which is why we found the share price reaction (+11%) on earnings day surprising. The valuation of the stock still looks moderate on adjusted earnings, but not particularly attractive in light of the free cash flow burdened by restructuring costs in the coming years.

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Nokia is a global telecommunications company. The company offers solutions in IP, broadband, digital health, and cloud-based systems. The customers are found in a broad base of markets and consist of large corporate customers, authorities, and private consumers. The business is established on a global level in all regions. Nokia was founded in 1865 and the head office is located in Esbo, Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures25.01.2024

202324e25e
Revenue22,279.021,711.221,889.0
growth-%-10.6 %-2.5 %0.8 %
EBIT (adj.)2,375.02,490.22,419.6
EBIT-% (adj.)10.7 %11.5 %11.1 %
EPS (adj.)0.290.330.32
Dividend0.130.140.16
Dividend %4.3 %1.5 %1.7 %
P/E (adj.)10.628.328.8
EV/EBITDA5.318.117.6

Forum discussions

Tråkigt att Marvells investerarevenemang inte kunde ge längre glädje på Nokias kurs nu har vi tappat ca 6 procent efter en nästan lika hög uppg...
41 minutes ago
by ROLU
0
Muutamia uutisia/ artikkeleita. https://www.telecomrevieweurope.com/articles/telecom-operators/orange-belgium-and-nokia-showcase-50-gbps-fiber...
3 hours ago
by Lexus
7
Samsung kertoi tänään ennakkotietoja Q3:n tuloksesta. Liikevaihto ja voitto jäivät lievösti ennakoidusta, joskin odotuksetkin ovat todella korkealla...
4 hours ago
by Voiceman
7
Yep, those won’t be updated until they absolutely have to be and things are certain. The CMD comment is in no way binding, and analysts (and...
15 hours ago
by Rosteri
8
The 2028 figure is a target; I don’t think there are any statutory requirements for it? And the 2027 figure hasn’t been provided, and previously...
18 hours ago
by ruuki
6
22 th of October 2026 is a bit late for Nokia to update financials, if there is relevant news coming!
yesterday
by Oxymoron 007
2
Palaan vielä Marvellin eiliseen sijoittajatapahtumaan kun se näyttäytyy toimialalle hyvin merkitykselliseltä. Alla on transcriptistä poimittu...
yesterday
by Lexus
19