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Nokia: Valuation is modest with improved performance

NOKIAResearch27.01.2023 klo 09.00
Atte RiikolaAnalyst
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Nokia ended the year with a strong earnings beat, and the turnaround that the company's strategy has been aiming for has been right on track for the past two years. The company's comparable operating profit has taken a leap from the previous level of around EUR 2 billion to over EUR 3 billion, while the quality of the result has improved due to reduced one-off items. Nokia's share valuation (2023e P/E 10x) looks low already considering the current performance, and with good execution of the strategy there is still room for earnings growth through both top-line growth and margin improvement.

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Nokia is a global telecommunications company. The company offers solutions in IP, broadband, digital health, and cloud-based systems. The customers are found in a broad base of markets and consist of large corporate customers, authorities, and private consumers. The business is established on a global level in all regions. Nokia was founded in 1865 and the head office is located in Esbo, Finland.

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Key Estimate Figures26.01.2023

202223e24e
Revenue24,911.025,772.825,880.6
growth-%12.2 %3.5 %0.4 %
EBIT (adj.)3,109.03,190.03,370.5
EBIT-% (adj.)12.5 %12.4 %13.0 %
EPS (adj.)0.440.430.45
Dividend0.120.180.22
Dividend %2.8 %2.2 %2.7 %
P/E (adj.)9.919.018.4
EV/EBITDA6.211.310.3

Forum discussions

Good post. Nokia, as I understand it, is also experiencing supply difficulties due to the component shortage, unless I misunderstood something...
1 hour ago
by Rosteri
5
Are there any restructuring costs expected for next year? Will they be bundled into this year, and from 2027–2030 will we be starting with a...
3 hours ago
by ruuki
0
A few comments regarding Nokia’s Q2 report. If I were to prioritize the key takeaways from the report, here are my observations: 1. €2.8 billion...
14 hours ago
by Mustathmir
25
Nokia is on the so-called crest of a wave. It has what customers want, and not out of obligation, but out of necessity. This is an absolutely...
17 hours ago
by OldFeki
11
The fact that they are already planning for a completely new factory (which was announced yesterday) clearly suggests that those figures will...
17 hours ago
by MFA
3
But as could be seen from Nokia’s presentation, the order intake for the last four quarters was approximately 5.4 billion. Even though Q2 orders...
18 hours ago
by Mustathmir
9
20% of revenue would mean about 4 billion euros in AI business for Nokia at its current size, so there is still… a long way to go. On the other...
18 hours ago
by OldFeki
10