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Research

PAYDAY 3's recovery can't be taken for granted

By Anton DamsténAnalyst
Starbreeze
Download report (PDF)

According to Starbreeze, PAYDAY 3 sales and player activity are currently significantly lower than the company would like. The company's focus and absolute priority is now to identify the changes that need to be made to ensure that PAYDAY 3 lives up to expectations. If they are successful, Starbreeze's current valuation undoubtedly looks very low. We had assumed that the updates released in Q4 would put PD3 on the road to recovery. As this has not happened and there are few signs of recovery at present, we do not see sufficient drivers or support for the stock over the next twelve months.

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Starbreeze operates in the gaming industry and focuses on the development, publishing and distribution of computer games and interactive entertainment. The company's portfolio includes both its own games and collaborations with other game developers. The business is aimed at gamers and distributors globally, with the largest operations in Europe. Starbreeze was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures16.02.2024

202324e25e
Revenue633.5160.4125.8
growth-%396.5 %-74.7 %-21.6 %
EBIT (adj.)190.3-88.6-45.8
EBIT-% (adj.)30.0 %-55.2 %-36.4 %
EPS (adj.)0.19-0.06-0.03
Dividend0.000.000.00
Dividend %
P/E (adj.)2.5neg.neg.
EV/EBITDA0.8neg.2.2

Forum discussions

Bluesky Social – 19 May 26 Jason Schreier (@jasonschreier.bsky.social) NEW: Hasbro has canceled a Dungeons & Dragons game from veteran director...
5/21/2026, 5:13 AM
by supremegod
0
Hi! We are hoping to arrange an interview soon; I will mention to the company that it would be appreciated by you investors.
5/15/2026, 7:36 AM
by Jesper Hagman
2
“Harps” on the same question again? Requesting a CEO interview
5/15/2026, 7:24 AM
0
Christoffer Jennel has published a company report following Q1. Starbreeze’s Q1 report missed our already cautious revenue and profitability...
5/13/2026, 3:10 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Christoffer Jennel has provided his comments on Starbreeze’s Q1 results. Starbreeze’s Q1 report fell short of our expectations across the board...
5/12/2026, 7:52 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Here are Jennel’s pre-game thoughts as Starbreeze reports its Q1 results next Tuesday We expect a significant decline in revenue and profitability...
5/5/2026, 5:29 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
Christoffer Jennel’s comments on yesterday’s press release. Starbreeze announced on Tuesday that it has entered into a licensing partnership...
3/25/2026, 10:31 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0