Copyright © Inderes 2011 - present. All rights reserved.
  • Latest
  • Markets
    • Morning Review
    • Stock Comparison
    • Financial Calendar
    • Dividends Calendar
    • Research
    • Articles
    • Insider Transactions
  • inderesTV
  • Portfolio
  • Forum
  • Premium
  • Femme
  • Learn
    • Investing School
    • Q&A
    • Analysis School
  • About Us
    • Our Coverage
    • Team
Third party research

Gentoo Media: Operating conditions have stabilised - ABG

Gentoo Media

This is a third party research report and does not necessarily reflect our views or values

Download report (PDF)
* Q3e: -22% y-o-y top-line decline* ABGSCe in line with low end of '25e guidance* Trading ~10% below peers at under 6x '25e EV/EBITDAQ3 expectationsWe expect Q3 sales of EUR 23.7m, down 22% y-o-y and down 3% sequentially. Moreover, we expect adj. EBITDA of EUR 10.9m, which corresponds to a margin of 45.8%. Various peer commentaries suggest that Brazil is growing, albeit at a somewhat more muted rate than was expected prior to peer Q3 reports. Notably, FTDs were up 12% y-o-y in Q2, suggesting that operating momentum was positive going into Q3. Even though the picture on the sportsbook margin is somewhat mixed when considering Betsson and Kambi's strong margins compared to the weak sports-win margin of Better Collective, we believe that this should carry a smaller impact for Gentoo vs. Better Collective.Minor estimate cutsPeer Q3 reports have been decent, and they indicate that Brazil is growing but at a somewhat more muted rate than previously expected. On the back of this, we only make minor estimate revisions, cutting '25e-'27e sales and adj. EBITDA by 1% and 3%, respectively. These estimate changes imply that we are in line with the lower end of the company's '25 guidance with respect to both sales and adj. EBITDA.Trading at a bit under 6x '25e EV/EBITDAGentoo is trading below 6x '25e EV/EBITDA, well below Better Collective (8.1x) but a bit above Gambling.com (4.3x). This means that Gentoo is trading 10% below the average of Better Collective and Gambling.com. Moreover, we highlight that Gentoo is trading at a '26e lease-adj. FCF yield excl. M&A of 25%.
Find us on social media
  • Inderes Forum
  • Youtube
  • Facebook
  • Instagram
  • X (Twitter)
  • Tiktok
  • Linkedin
Get in touch
  • info@inderes.fi
  • +358 10 219 4690
  • Porkkalankatu 5
    00180 Helsinki
Inderes
  • About us
  • Our team
  • Careers
  • Inderes as an investment
  • Services for listed companies
Our platform
  • FAQ
  • Terms of service
  • Privacy policy
  • Disclaimer
Inderes’ Disclaimer can be found here. Detailed information about each share actively monitored by Inderes is available on the company-specific pages on Inderes’ website. © Inderes Oyj. All rights reserved.