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| Estimates | Q3'25 | Q3'26 | Q3'26e | Q3'26e | Consensus | Difference (%) | 2026e | ||
| MSEK / SEK | Comparison | Actualized | Inderes | Consensus | Low | High | Act. vs. inderes | Inderes | |
| Revenue | 300 | 308 | 306 | 305 | 296 | - | 310 | 1% | 1058 |
| Gross margin-% | 53% | 55% | 53% | 1.6 pp | 54% | ||||
| EBITDA | 52.3 | 60.6 | 54.9 | 10% | 157 | ||||
| EBIT | 45.1 | 53.2 | 47.5 | 46.4 | 41.5 | - | 48.1 | 12% | 128 |
| PTP | 45.5 | 52.4 | 46.1 | 14% | 124 | ||||
| EPS (adj.) | 1.47 | 1.68 | 1.43 | 17% | 3.88 | ||||
| Revenue growth-% | 5.1 % | 2.8 % | 2.1 % | 1.7 % | -1.3 % | - | 3.4 % | 0.7 pp | 1.3 % |
| EBIT-% | 15.1 % | 17.2 % | 15.5 % | 15.2 % | 14.0 % | - | 15.5 % | 1.7 pp | 12.1 % |
Source: Inderes & Pinpoint (retail consensus 14.10.26, 56 estimates)
Björn Borg's Q3 results exceeded our expectations across the board, with profitability showing particular strength driven by a favorable channel mix. The company's own e-commerce segment fueled revenue growth, supporting gross margin expansion and lifting operating profit clearly above our estimates. As a result, we foresee some upward pressure on our near-term profitability estimates. While yesterday's announcement that CEO Henrik Bunge will step down introduces some short-term transition risk, we believe the strategic foundation remains solid.
Björn Borg reported Q3 revenue of 308 MSEK, slightly beating our 306 MSEK estimate and corresponding to a 3% year-on-year increase. The company's own e-commerce channel primarily drove the growth, expanding by an impressive 16% and outperforming our baseline expectations. The wholesale business grew by 3% in the third quarter, in line with our expectations. Within wholesale, e-tailers, i.e. players that primarily sell online, increased by 18%, while physical stores declined by 5%. The growth in e-tailers was driven by strong development in the German market.
The main positive surprise in the report was the gross margin, which expanded to 54.6% (Q3'25: 52.5%), clearly exceeding our 53.0% forecast. We attribute this margin strength largely to the favorable channel mix, as the high-margin own e-commerce segment outpaced overall sales growth. The robust gross profitability, combined with the slight revenue beat, resulted in an operating profit of 53 MSEK, comfortably surpassing our 48 MSEK expectation. Consequently, the reported EPS of 1.68 SEK also came in well ahead of our 1.43 SEK estimate.
Given the strong margin performance in Q3, we see some upward pressure on our near-term profitability forecasts. Separately, the company announced yesterday that Henrik Bunge will step down as CEO. In our view, Bunge has been an important leader for Björn Borg. Under his leadership, the company has successfully transitioned into a sports fashion brand with sustainably higher profitability. While his departure introduces some short-term transition risk, we believe the strategic foundation remains solid as the sports fashion pivot is now fully integrated into the product lifecycle and operational DNA.
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