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Analyst Comment

Due to Saxo Bank's administrative fine, purchase price received by Mandatum adjusted downward

Mandatum

Translation: Original published in Finnish on 1/26/2026 at 8:32 am EET.

Mandatum announced on Friday that due to an administrative fine imposed on Saxo Bank, the purchase price of the ownership would be approximately 8 MEUR lower than previously estimated.

Administrative fine reduces purchase price received by Mandatum

The Danish Financial Supervisory Authority (Finanstilsynet) has imposed an administrative fine of 313 MDKK (approx. 42 MEUR) on Saxo Bank. The fine relates to an inspection focused on the anti-money laundering area. The inspection did not find any actual instances of money laundering.

In March 2025, Mandatum agreed to sell its 19.83% stake in Saxo Bank for approximately 319 MEUR. According to the terms of the sales agreement, the fine will affect the final purchase price proportionately to the ownership share, so based on current information, Mandatum will receive a purchase price that is 8 MEUR lower than the company's previous estimate.

News has no impact on profit distribution outlook

There has been no change to the schedule for the sale of Saxo Bank shares, and Mandatum still expects the transaction to be completed in early 2026. Therefore, the announcement has no impact on our profit distribution estimates. However, this news will cause a slight adjustment to our investment return forecasts. Mandatum will provide a separate announcement on the completion of the transaction and the final purchase price, indicating that other minor adjustments in one direction or another may still occur.

In our interpretation, the negative impact on earnings (8 MEUR) reported now will be recognized for the year 2026. Nevertheless, the impact will remain moderate, as the negative change in value is approximately 5% relative to our EBIT forecast for 2026.

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Mandatum operates in the financial sector. The company offers various financial services to both private savers and corporate customers. The range is broad and mainly includes capital and wealth management, savings and investments, compensation, pension plans and personal risk insurance. The largest operations are in Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures12.11.2025

202425e26e
Revenue153.0163.7181.7
growth-%13.3 %7.0 %11.0 %
EBIT (adj.)202.9189.6183.0
EBIT-% (adj.)132.6 %115.8 %100.7 %
EPS (adj.)0.330.310.29
Dividend0.661.000.71
Dividend %12.2 %14.5 %10.3 %
P/E (adj.)16.522.223.6
EV/EBITDA10.516.018.5

Forum discussions

Here are Kasperi’s and Sauli’s comments regarding how the EUR 42 million administrative fine received by Saxo Bank reduces the purchase price...
yesterday
by Sijoittaja-alokas
14
News Powered by Cision Mandatum Oyj: Tarkennus Saxo Bankin osakkeiden alkuperäiseen kauppahintaan Mandatum Oyj, Lehdistötiedote, 23.1.2026 klo...
1/23/2026, 9:18 AM
by Cadel
28
They are raving about the winner in Kauppalehti today
1/20/2026, 4:54 AM
by Bösaboi
39
I’m not worried about Mandatum’s share price drop last week. For me, that “promise” of distributing over a billion over the next couple of years...
1/17/2026, 6:52 PM
by Camelman
11
The market just seems nervous. The same thing happened with Metsä when someone updated the target price to two euros.
1/17/2026, 3:09 PM
by Manfred
4
Company management has indeed stated that over 1 billion in dividends will be distributed over the next four years, emphasized as “over” and...
1/17/2026, 3:05 PM
by Ari
10
Yesterday, down nearly 6% following Nordea’s €5.8 recommendation. Things might get interesting. Will it drift down to the target price? That...
1/17/2026, 2:54 PM
by Cezeta
4
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