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Analyst Comment

Swedish clothing market down in early December

By Lucas MattssonAnalyst
Björn Borg

Summary

  • Preliminary data indicates that the Swedish clothing market experienced an 8.4% decline in sales up to December 16, 2023, potentially due to a shift in consumer spending to Black Week in November.
  • November sales were strong at +7.5% y/y, suggesting a pull-forward of Christmas shopping, while October sales were modest at +3% y/y, possibly due to mild weather affecting seasonal clothing demand.
  • Sweden, Björn Borg's largest market, is expected to see around 1% y/y growth in Q4’25, despite facing tough comparisons from Q4’24's 43% revenue growth.
  • Björn Borg's group-level Q4’25 revenue is forecasted at 238 MSEK, with a 3.0% growth in local currencies, but a strengthening SEK is expected to limit reported revenue growth to 1.6% y/y.

This content is generated by AI. You can give feedback on it in the Inderes forum.

-10.0%-5.0%0.0%5.0%10.0%15.0%MarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugSepOctNovDec*202320242025Development of Swedish clothing markety/ySource: Svensk Handel *2025 December sales up to the 16th

Preliminary Swedish clothing market data for December sales up to the 16th were down 8.4%. Although we believe that the figures was quite weak, the period is quite short, so it can be affected by various factors such as the timing of Black Week sales.

Sales figures for December signal earlier Christmas shopping

As usual, preliminary Swedish clothing market data for December was released last Friday, and sales up to the 16th were down 8.4%. Given that November sales were relatively strong (+7.5% y/y), followed by a softer trading period through December 16, we believe this points to a pull-forward of Christmas shopping, as consumers shifted spending to Black Week in November. While several key trading days in December remain, October sales were relatively modest (+3% y/y), in our view reflecting a still-challenging retail environment. This can partly be explained by mild weather conditions, which dampened demand for seasonal clothes.

Sweden is Björn Borg’s largest market

Sweden is Björn Borg’s largest market, accounting for approximately 37% of total revenue. We estimate that Björn Borg will achieve around 1% y/y growth in Sweden for Q4’25, largely in line with what we expect for the broader Swedish clothing market during the same period. However, it should be noted that Björn Borg faces very tough comparisons in the Swedish market (Q4’24: 43% revenue growth). On a group level, our forecast expects Björn Borg’s Q4’25 revenue to amount to 238 MSEK, corresponding to 3.0% revenue growth in local currencies. However, due to a negative FX impact from a strengthening SEK, we expect reported revenue to increase by 1.6% y/y.

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Björn Borg operates in the fashion industry and focuses on the design, manufacture and distribution of sportswear and underwear. The company's products are aimed at private individuals looking for comfortable and stylish clothing. The business is global with a main presence in the Nordic region and Europe. Björn Borg was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Solna.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures17.11.

202425e26e
Revenue990.01,044.11,130.2
growth-%13.5 %5.5 %8.2 %
EBIT (adj.)101.8108.0121.0
EBIT-% (adj.)10.3 %10.3 %10.7 %
EPS (adj.)2.893.523.65
Dividend3.003.203.50
Dividend %5.8 %5.3 %5.8 %
P/E (adj.)17.917.116.5
EV/EBITDA10.211.410.2

Forum discussions

Here are Lucas’s comments on the performance of the Swedish clothing market in early December. Preliminary December sales figures for the Swedish...
8 minutes ago
by Sijoittaja-alokas
0
And here is the new company report on Björn Borg by Lucas. Björn Borg’s Q3 report was overall roughly in line with our estimates. In our view...
11/17/2025, 7:37 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
And here are Lucas’s quick comments on the morning’s results. Björn Borg’s Q3 revenue was only slightly below our absolute forecasts. Although...
11/14/2025, 9:55 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
@lucas.mattsson has written preliminary comments as Björn Borg announces its results next week Friday. We expect strong revenue growth, primarily...
11/7/2025, 7:20 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
Hi! My name is Lucas and I cover, among other things, Björn Borg. Since our forum has now switched to multilingual mode, you can ask me questions...
10/13/2025, 12:56 PM
by Lucas Mattsson
16
Here is Lucas Mattsson’s company report on Björn Borg after Q2. Björn Borg’s Q2 report was mixed. While the company reported strong revenue,...
8/18/2025, 5:04 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
2
Here are Lucas’s quick comments on the result. Inderes Björn Borg Q2'25 -pikakommentti: Hyvä liikevaihdon kasvu, mutta tulos jäi... Björn Borgin...
8/15/2025, 8:14 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
1
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