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Strong performance in insurance businesses

By Inderes
Sampo

Sampo Group’s insurance companies continued their strong performance, which compensated for tame banking results.

Group’s profit before taxes for January–September increased to EUR 1,643 million from EUR 1,340 million, when adjusting for the non-recurring profit item of EUR 706 million resulting from the change of Topdanmark’s accounting status.

If’s results were, once again, strong, thanks to the excellent technical result. Profit before taxes for January–September 2018 increased to EUR 626 million from EUR 603 million and combined ratio amounted to 85.8 per cent. Development for If’s top-line was good as well; premiums increased 3.1 per cent in January–September. In geographical terms, the strongest performance was reported in Sweden where premiums increased 4.9 per cent in local currency. In addition, the number of customers grew in all markets.

At the beginning of the third quarter, the large forest fires that raged in Sweden gained plenty of media attention. However, those had only a marginal impact on If’s result – approximately EUR 4 million.

Due to If’s excellent performance, we upgraded our outlook for If’s full-year combined ratio. We expect If to reach a combined ratio target of 85-87 per cent. The earlier target was 86-88 per cent.

In the beginning of November, If distributed a dividend of SEK 7 billion, approximately EUR 675 million, to the parent company Sampo plc. In 2017, the dividend was SEK 6 billion, approximately EUR 620 million.

Topdanmark reported strong results as well. Profit before taxes amounted to EUR 170 million and combined ratio was excellent, 82.7 per cent. In January–September, Topdanmark’s premiums increased 2.2 per cent in non-life insurance business and 14.1 per cent in non-life insurance business.

Topdanmark also upgraded its outlook for full-year results and combined ratio.

Nordea’s performance was not that desirable, as the bank’s management admits in the interim report. However, for the 9 months period, Sampo’s share of Nordea’s net profit increased to EUR 527 million from EUR 491 million. Positive things in the report included low levels of credit losses, good cost development and very strong capital position.

Mandatum Life’s profit before taxes for January–September increased to EUR 385 million from EUR 180 million. The profit includes the contribution of EUR 197 million from the Danske Bank co-operation agreement in the second quarter of 2018.

Mandatum Life’s technical reserves increased to a record-high level. At the end of September, reserves amounted to EUR 7.2 billion, which was EUR 100 million more than year ago.

Mandatum Life’s with-profit technical reserves continued to shrink and were EUR 4.3. billion at the end of September compared to EUR 4.6 billion a year ago. Reserves related to the higher guarantees (3.5% and 4.5%) decreased by EUR 174 million during January-September. With-profit portfolio requires lots of capital. Thus, the shrinking of the portfolio improves Mandatum Life’s ability to pay dividend to the parent company.

In late September, Mandatum Life distributed an additional dividend of EUR 150 million to the parent company. In the spring, Mandatum Life paid a dividend of EUR 150 million. Hence, the total dividend for the year 2018 amounted to EUR 300 million compared to EUR 275 million in 2017.

Loss before taxes for the Holding segment (excluding Nordea) for January–September amounted to EUR 45 compared to a loss of EUR 27 million a year ago. In the first half of the year, the result was affacted by unfavorable currency development, especially by the weak Swedish krona. In the third quarter, currency development was clearly more stable and the segment’s profit before taxes was slightly positive.

In the third quarter, we continued to make larger, direct financial investments via the parent company. Our ownership in the Swedish credit management services provider Intrum exceeded 5 per cent and lead to a flagging announcement. In addition, we closed the Saxo Bank deal announced last year.

On capital markets, autumn was calm at first but after the quarter changed, there has been very strong movements. For an opportunistic and patient investor like Sampo, increased volatility is the most welcome phenomenon because it can offer good investment opportunities.

Read more about Sampo’s results for January–September at www.sampo.com/result

Mirko Hurmerinta, IR and Communications Specialist, Sampo plc

Why invest in Sampo? IR Blog provides information about Sampo as an investment case and the Group's businesses and markets. www.sampo.com/irblog

Sampo is a Nordic property and casualty insurer operating also in the UK and in the Baltics. In the Nordics, Sampo provides insurance services across all countries, customer segments and products. In the UK, the company offers motor and home insurance for private individuals. The Group is made up of If P&C, Topdanmark, Hastings, and the parent company Sampo plc. Sampo was founded in 1909 and it is headquartered in Helsinki, Finland.

Read more on company page

Key Estimate Figures05.11.2018

201718e19e
Revenue5,815.07,949.38,015.6
growth-%7.5 %36.7 %0.8 %
EBIT (adj.)1,775.61,916.31,953.2
EBIT-% (adj.)30.5 %24.1 %24.4 %
EPS (adj.)0.490.490.51
Dividend0.470.490.52
Dividend %5.8 %4.9 %5.2 %
P/E (adj.)16.420.419.6
EV/EBITDA10.515.016.2

Forum discussions

@Mirko_Sampo_IR was of course present at the Investor 2025 event Inderes Sampo sijoituskohteena | Sijoittaja 2025 - Inderes Aika: 28.11.2025...
11/28/2025, 7:41 PM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
13
I will be at the investment fair the day after tomorrow. Feel free to come say hi Sijoittaja Etusivu - Sijoittaja Sijoittaja 2025 Messukeskuksessa...
11/24/2025, 11:25 AM
by Mirko/Sampo IR
26
The latest analyst consensus can be found on the website: https://www.sampo.com/fi/sijoittajat/analyytikkotietoa/konsensusennusteet/ We have...
11/19/2025, 12:30 PM
by Mirko/Sampo IR
20
Sampos Q3 was, as they say in English: Rock Solid. Convincing in terms of figures and stable in terms of performance. The report is discussed...
11/17/2025, 9:03 AM
by Isa Hudd
22
I wrote various reflections on Nalle’s latest book in the literature thread. Since the majority of comments concern Sampo, I’m also linking ...
11/7/2025, 7:45 AM
by Sauli Vilen
21
Here is Sale’s company report on Sampo after Q3. Sampo’s Q3 report was excellent in terms of numbers, but operationally the report did not contain...
11/6/2025, 8:28 AM
by Sijoittaja-alokas
19
Nordea published its updated Sampo analysis after the Q3 results. Recommendation (BUY) and target price (€11.00) remain unchanged.
11/6/2025, 7:48 AM
by KuHa
26

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