Flügger develops, produces, markets, and sells interior and exterior decorative paint, wood stains, filler, and tools; selling to professional painters, private customers, and builder’s merchants. Flügger originates from Denmark and is listed on the Nasdaq OMX Copenhagen Stock Exchange.
Flügger has a strong market position in the Nordic markets, where it is the market leader in Denmark. Its physical Flügger Farver stores are well known throughout the Nordic region and are the company’s primary sales channel; however, Flügger also has private label sales via builder’s merchants as well as developing e-commerce capabilities.
Flügger’s position in the Nordics is relatively stable, whereas the company has growth via export markets and its own presence in Eastern Europe, with a long history in Poland and by the acquisitions of Unicell and Eskaro.
Flügger closed 2025/26 with revenue of MDKK 2,313 (+2% y/y), marginally above our MDKK 2,298 estimate, and EBIT of MDKK 108 (+15%), both within guidance. Reported EBIT met our forecast, though earnings quality was a touch softer, with EBITDA, PTP and EPS landing a few percent below as admin and ERP costs ran ahead of our modelling. Poland again led growth at +11% local currency for the full year, while the Nordic segment rose 2% as the planned private-label phase-out masked improving core demand from professional painters and consumers. The new 2026/27 guidance of MDKK 2,400-2,500 revenue and MDKK 105-125 EBIT lifts our revenue outlook but trims our EBIT trajectory, the main change to our estimates for 2026/27e. We reiterate our "Accumulate" recommendation, with the ongoing sanctions case remaining the key risk factor, and raise our target price to DKK 410 per share (prev. DKK 360).
Flügger reports its 2025/26 annual results on Thursday, 25 June 2026, including Q4 figures (February-April). We expect confirmation of the gradual recovery, with full-year revenue and EBIT within guidance, double-digit growth in Poland, and further margin expansion driven by an improved product mix. Our focus will be on Nordic demand from professional painters and private consumers through spring 2026, the new FY2026/27 guidance, capital returns, and the sanctions case.
Flügger delivered 1% revenue growth in Q3 2025/26 to MDKK 451 (Q3 2024/25: MDKK 447), bringing year-to-date revenue to MDKK 1,715. Poland remains the primary growth driver, with +10% local currency growth (+12% reported), while the Nordic segment was flat as the ongoing private-label phase-out saw a 6% decline in Denmark offsetting professional painter demand growth across the Nordic region. Q3 results were slightly below our estimate of MDKK 460, driven by a larger Danish decline than expected and a slight decline y/y in Sweden in Q3. Despite the softer topline, structural drivers of margin expansion from improved product mix and higher-margin Polish growth remain unchanged, and guidance is maintained. We reiterate our "Accumulate" recommendation and DKK 360 price target, though we note the emerging Middle East energy shock as a new risk factor.
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Flügger delivered 2.2% revenue growth in H1 2025/26 to MDKK 1,264, as strong growth in Poland (International segment (12% y/y) and Sweden (+8% y/y) offset revenue declines in Denmark and other export nations. In the Nordics, a conversion of white-label volumes to own-brand sales in Denmark lifted margins; however, Group EBIT was stable at MDKK 141 (from MDKK 140 H1 2024/25), as terminated sales to nations in Eastern Europe and other non-core export markets had a negative impact on the International segment’s EBIT result year-over-year. Despite weaker EBIT expansion than projected in H1 2025/26 the structural value drivers of margin expansion in the Nordics from improved product mix and strong, higher margin growth in Poland remain unchanged. We still see a favourable risk-reward as Flügger executes its profitable rebound, despite possible sanctions-related risks, and reiterate our “Accumulate” recommendation and slightly lower price target of DKK 360 per share.
Flügger will publish its Q2 2025/26 results on Friday, December 12. We maintain our forecasts, which were updated following the solid Q1 performance, where strong growth in Poland continued, and Sweden also saw a growth acceleration, while Danish revenues remained flat. For Q2, we continue to expect a balanced performance with modest group revenue growth supported by strong International momentum and favourable FX tailwinds, while Denmark executes its shift of production output from builders’ merchants back towards Flügger’s (higher margin) own brands.
Flügger delivered 3% revenue growth in Q1 2025/26 to MDKK 653, led by continued strong growth in Poland +12% y/y in local currency. Professional painter activity in the Nordics also showed signs of recovery, particularly in Sweden, from low levels. In Denmark, revenue was stable as sales growth to professional painters and retail customers offset the downscaling of private-label/low-price products. Despite stable revenue, we expect a positive margin impact from the shift in sales mix towards core customer groups. We continue to see a sustained recovery with moderate topline growth and EBIT margin expansion driving a favourable risk-reward, and reiterate our “Accumulate” recommendation and price target of DKK 370 per share.
Flügger took a solid step forward in 2024/25 in the recovery from a cyclical downturn, following the Covid-19 demand surge and resulting inflationary period. Management’s greater focus on the core professional painter segment in combination with controlled organic growth in the higher margin International market, can support continuing moderate revenue growth and sustained margin and EPS growth. We see a favourable risk/reward based on absolute and relative valuation and initiate our coverage of Flügger with an ”Accumulate” recommendation and price target of DKK 370.
Read the latest Flügger One-pager following its FY 2024/25 annual results, which includes a brief description of Flügger, valuation perspectives relative to a peer group, and several key investment risks and key investment reasons.
Read the latest Flügger One-pager following its Q3'2024/25 trading update, which includes a brief description of Flügger, valuation perspectives relative to a peer group, and several key investment risks and key investment reasons.
