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Sampo put up strong Q2 numbers and If P&C once again showed why it is the highest quality insurer in the Nordic countries. We have revised our estimates slightly upwards, led by If P&C.
Our target price is also in line with the company’s sum of the parts. Our estimates remain unchanged and we expect stable and good earnings development from Sampo in the next few years. The share’s expected return in the next few years consists of secure and evenly growing dividend flow and a slight discount compared to the sum of the parts. The expected return is not particularly high, but we feel that it is still very sufficient considering Sampo's low risk profile.
Sampo's Q1 result exceeded our forecast thanks to strong development in If P&C and Mandatum. However, the beat came through certain non-recurring factors and investment income. Thus, the report didn't cause major estimate revisions.